Despite already having ranted on the subject at length, I find it hard to ignore the upcoming war with Iran.
Every single war in the M-E has failed, going back decades now, and most recently in Yemen and Afghanistan-- so we don't need to speculate about the potential outcome of this one, and anyone doing so is simply retarded: it will fail too, just like all the other ones, with the only real question being how.
Anyone ignoring this obvious fact, is just a paid propagandist trying to rebrand the status quo as based, edgy, shocking, new, etc-- nowadays, probably some Millennial faggot on Twitter, as opposed to some equally retarded Boomer on Fox News, but still the same old same old.
I think it helps to categorize the different outcomes of previous conflicts using Nassim Taleb's terms: either the affected nation collapses under the immense stress and never recovers ('fragile') or the continuous intervention manages to create a force that winds up wiping out the invaders ('anti-fragile').
The examples of fragility are Libya, Syria, and Iraq-- the ruling regime and the institutions are destroyed, but without replacing them with a pro-American version, and so the entire nation just plunges into pure anarchy and chaos, without us gaining control over resources, territory, population, etc, just a sheer waste of lives for no benefit.
Given how weak and old the regime in Iran is, with the protests and general senility and so on, this is certainly a possibility.
The other set of outcomes are less discussed by the media, or even by anti-war Americans, because they're humiliating to think about-- but it's a textbook case of what happens when you continuously and naively intervene: you wind up in incentivizing the creation of an even more hostile force.
This is what has taken place in Afghanistan, Lebanon, and Yemen-- it's not that the invasion failed, but they actually became stronger, and wound up going on the offensive. Anti-fragile growth.
The Taliban withstood the US Army, and then kicked them out and took control over the entirety of Afghanistan. Lebanon withstood the Israeli invasion, kicked them out in the 2000s, resisted another invasion in 2006, and has now forced them out of Northern Israel. The Houthis resisted a decade of bombing from the Pentagon, won their civil war, and now control the Red Sea.
It goes beyond mere defeat-- an even worse loss than if you had not gotten involved.
I don't rule out this process taking place in Iran either, and perhaps especially if the ruling regime is assassinated / destroyed-- neocon retards are barely able to think two steps ahead, or account for the effect of their own actions.
In any case, those are the examples to keep in mind. (And again, anyone thinking we're going to see amazing benefits -- retarded, and probably a puppet.)
I've also discussed this before, but here in America we seem to have entered into the Era of the School Shooter in the 2020s-- we've gone from having more and more corrupt elites, but hiding it somewhat, to now having openly anti-social, unhinged, freaks who hate the people they're in charge of.
It's not an exaggeration to say that they resemble some psychotic loser blowing up his school more than anyone with a trace of sanity, and in fact they'll probably be remembered in those terms: they simply no longer bother hiding the contempt they feel for the people under them.
In this particular case, with the military, I imagine they've realized how unpopular their agenda is with the post-Boomer generations, and especially with Millennials and Zoomers (regardless of how much they spend on marketing, branding, paying off Millennials on Twitter, etc).
They also know that America is headed for some kind of severe financial crisis.
This means that the days of occupying the world, or propping up Israel, or fighting pointless wars in the M-E will be drawing to a close soon-- and I think they've figured that out, and are waging one final unhinged campaign against their enemies, a kind of all-out assault before they bite the dust for good.
This is not limited to the military (just the most dramatic example)-- you see the same behavior throughout most institutions, such as the COVID response, the DNC rigging elections and forcing Biden / Kamala onto their own voters, politicians like Vivek and Musk openly telling Americans to embrace being replaced with cheap labor, and so on and so forth.
Power-tripping on steroids, pointless campaigns that achieve nothing, doubling down on a losing hand, and committing suicide for no real reason-- that's the new era we live in, and that's why I don't waste my time trying to find a logical high-IQ motive to explain or justify this behavior, since it doesn't exist.
Also forgot to mention the genius sanctions against Russia, as another example of anti-fragile growth in response to stress-- making their economy stronger, while blowing up Europe's (and especially Germany's).
ReplyDeleteAnd Trump is redoubling them, too. Some people are just committed to losing, in every aspect of life.
The other obvious sign of how remarkably senile and incompetent the regime in Iran is, aside from the protests-- no nuclear weapons!
ReplyDeleteMassive mistake. They're still signalling their obedience to iNTeRNaTiOnAl lAw, as if any of that mattered or were relevant these days-- imagine risking annihilation at the hands of Israel and the US, the destruction of thousands of years of culture and civilization, just to follow some pointless set of rules from the 50s that nobody listens to (least of all the people that originally came up with them).
The side representing 'order' and 'civilization' is openly bombing children, blowing up hospitals and leveling entire cities, and kidnapping leaders-- stop negotiating with them, and get serious about defending yourselves.
It's also pathetic, though not unexpected this point, to see Millennials of all nationalities gathering together on Twitter to slurp up the most retarded Pentagon talking points on Earth, namely all this slop about how the Persians themselves are just *desperate* to have the Shah return and make them all slaves of the CIA like they were back in the 70s...
ReplyDeleteYeah I'm sure that the past year of open, unrelenting, genocide against the Palestinians has taught them that they have nothing to fear at all from Israel and America-- why, just the opposite! Stop worrying, disarm, surrender, de-fund your various allies, and get ready to love your beneficent overlords!
After all, there is no more effective way of negotiating disarmament, discouraging resistance, and building trust than establishing at the outset that you will ruthlessly obliterate anyone that can't defend themselves, including by deliberately targeting civilians-- that really sends the message, doesn't it?
Whatever you say Boomers, whatever you say...
At this point that should be the default response to any 30 yr old bootlicker demanding you worship 'muh high IQ elites', right as they crash the ship into an iceberg.
Ironically enough, and this is (as I always say) also for a future post, but many of them seem to have built their entire personalities on the basis of 'not being Boomers'... but they are very quickly becoming almost indistinguishable from them, in the eyes of most people, expect for being a lot gayer and more obnoxious.
Another thing to remember when dealing with Millennials is that people who were never allowed to go outside never develop the ability to intuitively look at what's happening in reality and then draw conclusions from there, the way that normal adults do-- in other words, you start at the conclusion and use that to inform your world-view.
ReplyDeleteRather they seem to operate with an Intellectual Yet Idiot / nerd approach, on steroids-- they have no clue what they're looking at, they're so smug and closed off that they never receive feedback, and they only approach the world through some logical-verbal prism, with graphs and factoids and whatnot, which they view as a superior, pure, etc approach.
But because they have no intuition, and no contact with reality, all they do is build bizarro-hallucinated world-views, on the basis of observations that may in fact be correct and true, but which ultimately result in a totally ridiculous, retarded, contradictory, or distorted vision of the world.
So right as Western and American elites have never been more suicidal, pathetic, low-IQ, openly failing and incompetent and worthless-- they're advancing the narrative of 'you low-status low IQ normals just need to worship the high IQ experts, obey your cognitive overlords, get over your jealousy and trust their superior plans' and so on and so forth.
And all these incredibly smug and arrogant pronouncements are being issued, right as that very society which is run by the geniuses is collapsing! It literally resembles a 3rd world dystopia, maybe with a handful of techno-futuristic devices, but in any case could not be further from some kind of amazing utopian future.
It just makes me laugh at this point-- congratulations on making propaganda which is not just 'out of touch', but is literally contradicted directly by reality itself! Anyone with an IQ above 80 can see past it!